Early poll is bad news for Bevin

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Opening graph in Mason-Dixon poll document
Opening graph in Mason-Dixon poll document

The Mason-Dixon polling company is out with a new Kentucky poll on the 2019 governor’s race, and it’s bad news for Matt Bevin.

The poll of 625 registered voters was conducted by telephone from December 12 through December 15. (Note: Before the called special session.) The margin of error is ±4%.

With the caveat that polling in Kentucky has not been very reliable, especially this early, here is a look at some of the poll numbers:

Bevin Job Rating

ApproveDisapprove
Overall38%
(down from
45% a year ago)
53%
(up from
41% a year ago)
Democrats18%72%
Republicans63%30%
<50 years old31%58%
50+ years old42%49%

 

Bevin vs Beshear

QUESTION: If the 2019 election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Andy Beshear, the Democrat and Matt Bevin, the Republican?

BeshearBevin
Statewide48%40%
Men43%44%
Women52%37%
Democrats70%17%
Republicans21%67%
<50 years old52%34%
50+ years old44%45%

 

Bevin vs Adkins

QUESTION: If the 2019 election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Rocky Adkins, the Democrat and Matt Bevin, the Republican?

AdkinsBevin
Statewide42%41%
Men38%47%
Women45%37%
Democrats61%17%
Republicans19%71%
<50 years old44%37%
50+ years old41%43%

 

Bevin vs Grimes

QUESTION: If the 2019 election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Alison Lundergan Grimes, the Democrat and Matt Bevin, the Republican?

GrimesBevin
Statewide46%47%
Men42%50%
Women49%44%
Democrats70%19%
Republicans16%78%
<50 years old51%40%
50+ years old42%53%

 

Name Recognition

Question: Do you recognize this name, and if you do, do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of that person?

FavorableUnfavorableNeutralWho?
Donald Trump46%37%17%
Andy Beshear31%23%39%7%
Matt Bevin29%44%26%1%
Alison Lundergan Grimes28%29%29%4%
Rocky Adkins18%3%21%58%
Amy McGrath17%12%23%48%
Adam Edelen15%2%20%63%
Attica Scott3%2%18%77%

 

The report (PDF) can be found here: KY_Governor_12_17_2018.

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