Polls disagree about state of governor’s race Skip to content

Polls disagree about state of governor’s race

Cameron appears to be pulling away – but Craft says the opposite is true.

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Kentucky is renowned for being a difficult state within which to run a political poll. With one day to go before voting comes to a close in this year’s primary elections, that reputation may get added to.

For months, polls have shown Daniel Cameron leading the rest of the field in the race to be the GOP nominee for governor. As of a few weeks ago, he was still in the lead with 30% supporting him, but Kelly Craft (24%) had narrowed the gap, and Ryan Quarles (15%) had gained a few points as well.

Then yesterday (Sunday), a new Fox 56/Emerson College poll was released, and Cameron had extended his lead, garnering support from 33% of those polled, with Craft getting 17.6% and Quarles 13.2%.

In that poll, though, 12.8% are still undecided. Also notable is the contrast in “unfavorables” between the two top candidates: 20% has an unfavorable view of Cameron, while 37% has an unfavorable view of Craft.

But wait ...

A story on Link NKY reports that Craft’s own internal polling shows her tied with Cameron.

Speaking at a campaign event Friday morning, Craft told supporters that polling in September of 2022 showed her 40 points behind Cameron, then in January, 26 points behind, and now even with Cameron.

“I was 40 down September the 13th, 26 [points] down in January. Now, we’re dead tied,” Craft said.

When requested to share that internal polling, Craft said there are multiple sources, but her campaign keeps that internal polling information private.

Tomorrow evening, we will find out which poll was correct.

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