Roe, Roe, Roe your vote – abortion amendment defeated

Bruce Maples
Bruce Maples
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After passing an abortion ban that took effect when Roe was overturned, the Repubs in the Kentucky legislature went for the grand prize: taking the courts out of the picture by amending the Kentucky Constitution. The amendment would have removed any judicial remedies to the increasingly draconian abortion laws in this state, leaving the question of women’s rights and women’s bodies solely in the hands of the very-conservative and very-male legislature.

They failed. The amendment lost.

And in the end, it wasn’t particularly close. With about 88% of the votes in, the No side is leading with 52.6% of the vote. The Yes side would have to get 70% of the remaining votes to take the lead. Could that happen? Statistically, yes. Practically, no.

Where did the No votes come from? As you would expect, from the major cities – but also from some other places across the state. This map shows the vote by county, with darker red meaning more No votes and darker blue meaning more Yes vote.

Map from the New York Times

It should be noted that more than one observer has looked at this map and said “Dems, here’s your organizing map for 2024.” (To which I absolutely agree.)

And, for those of you who love digging into the data, here is the vote table from the same NY Times page as of 10:00 AM this morning. Note that the table is sortable by clicking on the column header; to reset it, just refresh the page.

County No  % Yes  % Total
votes
Percent
of votes in
Jefferson 71 29 264,780 >95%
Fayette 73 27 103,915 79%
Kenton 55 45 49,786 75%
Boone 49 51 44,121 >95%
Warren 55 45 37,225 >95%
Campbell 57 43 34,315 >95%
Daviess 46 54 31,760 >95%
Hardin 51 49 29,943 >95%
Madison 52 48 29,607 >95%
Oldham 58 42 25,899 >95%
McCracken 46 54 21,975 >95%
Pulaski 31 69 20,566 >95%
Franklin 67 33 19,765 >95%
Laurel 31 69 17,285 75%
Shelby 52 48 17,261 >95%
Jessamine 48 52 16,967 >95%
Nelson 51 49 16,290 85%
Christian 44 56 14,425 >95%
Pike 38 62 14,278 >95%
Hopkins 43 57 14,194 >95%
Boyd 49 51 13,448 >95%
Henderson 54 46 13,405 >95%
Barren 45 55 13,291 >95%
Marshall 38 62 12,523 >95%
Greenup 46 54 11,701 79%
Graves 31 69 11,580 >95%
Clark 51 49 11,509 >95%
Calloway 48 52 11,480 79%
Floyd 43 57 11,401 83%
Boyle 53 47 9,981 >95%
Muhlenberg 37 63 9,812 >95%
Whitley 32 68 9,668 >95%
Meade 46 54 9,338 >95%
Anderson 45 55 9,165 >95%
Montgomery 46 54 8,674 >95%
Taylor 36 64 8,517 >95%
Logan 39 61 8,073 >95%
Mercer 44 56 7,842 78%
Carter 43 57 7,583 >95%
Spencer 46 54 7,570 >95%
Grayson 41 59 7,486 74%
Knox 30 70 7,390 >95%
Grant 41 59 7,190 >95%
Lincoln 36 64 7,186 >95%
Rowan 58 42 7,128 >95%
Harlan 26 74 6,924 >95%
Ohio 38 62 6,904 >95%
Perry 42 58 6,642 >95%
Bourbon 58 42 6,588 >95%
Harrison 52 48 6,446 >95%
Adair 31 69 5,947 >95%
Russell 30 70 5,903 79%
Hart 39 61 5,893 >95%
Henry 53 47 5,759 >95%
Garrard 39 61 5,738 >95%
Allen 36 64 5,730 >95%
Marion 45 55 5,605 >95%
Johnson 33 67 5,570 67%
Simpson 44 56 5,489 >95%
Mason 49 51 5,485 >95%
Letcher 39 61 5,421 >95%
LaRue 38 62 5,030 >95%
Casey 30 70 4,905 82%
Breckinridge 43 57 4,851 57%
Washington 39 61 4,756 >95%
Clay 30 70 4,738 >95%
Pendleton 40 60 4,673 >95%
Magoffin 37 63 4,636 >95%
Fleming 44 56 4,629 >95%
Knott 39 61 4,617 88%
Union 41 59 4,599 >95%
Caldwell 35 65 4,509 >95%
Rockcastle 26 74 4,386 >95%
Estill 43 57 4,295 >95%
Green 26 74 4,193 >95%
McCreary 27 73 4,055 >95%
Butler 35 65 3,988 >95%
Webster 40 60 3,960 >95%
Edmonson 44 56 3,953 >95%
Bath 50 50 3,871 >95%
Lawrence 34 66 3,851 >95%
Owen 41 59 3,725 >95%
Morgan 34 66 3,703 >95%
Metcalfe 44 56 3,681 >95%
Lewis 35 65 3,531 >95%
McLean 37 63 3,487 >95%
Breathitt 41 59 3,427 73%
Jackson 17 83 3,415 >95%
Todd 35 65 3,259 >95%
Monroe 30 70 3,232 >95%
Powell 47 53 3,218 >95%
Livingston 32 68 3,089 >95%
Lyon 43 57 3,075 >95%
Bracken 42 58 3,030 >95%
Trimble 48 52 3,005 >95%
Ballard 34 66 2,992 >95%
Clinton 25 75 2,992 >95%
Crittenden 33 67 2,983 83%
Gallatin 48 52 2,802 >95%
Leslie 29 71 2,723 70%
Carroll 54 46 2,698 80%
Martin 30 70 2,359 77%
Nicholas 60 40 2,275 >95%
Cumberland 32 68 2,194 >95%
Carlisle 29 71 2,054 >95%
Lee 40 60 2,015 83%
Elliott 41 59 1,937 79%
Fulton 45 55 1,489 >95%
Owsley 34 66 1,478 >95%
Hickman 30 70 1,448 >95%
Robertson 47 53 922 >95%
Bell 0 0 0 0%
Bullitt 0 0 0 0%
Hancock 0 0 0 0%
Menifee 0 0 0 0%
Scott 0 0 0 0%
Trigg 0 0 0 0%
Wayne 0 0 0 0%
Wolfe 0 0 0 0%
Woodford 0 0 0 0%
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Bruce Maples has been involved in politics and activism since 2004, when he became active in the Kerry Kentucky movement. (Read the rest of his bio on the Bruce Maples Bio page in the bottom nav bar.)

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