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Ticket-splitters propel Beshear to resounding victory

In a race that was decided early in the evening, Andy Beshear won a second term.

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In an election that saw no other Democrat come close to victory, Governor Andy Beshear drew support from across the political spectrum to win re-election to a second term.

The most popular Democratic governor in the country significantly outperformed his 2019 results, winning red county after red county. In 2019, he beat Matt Bevin by about 5,000 votes; against AG Daniel Cameron, that margin ballooned to 67,000 votes, for a 52.5% to 47.5% victory.

Beshear’s campaign focused on unifying the state, while Cameron’s focused on Beshear (and President Biden). Combined with Beshear’s leadership over the past four years, it proved to be a winning message, gaining him votes from not only his Democratic base, but also from Republicans across the state.

In contrast, Cameron’s attempts to portray Beshear as some sort of wild-eyed “woke” liberal fell flat outside of his MAGA base. His Trump endorsement, which he touted to the very end, may have actually cost him votes among independents and non-MAGA Republicans.

The proof is in the maps

In county after county, Beshear outperformed all the other Democrats, winning votes across the board. Take a look at these contrasting maps.

Here is the map of the governor’s race:

NY Times map of 2023 governor race returns

And here is the map of the race for attorney general:

NY Times map of 2023 AG race returns

Outside of Louisville and Lexington, Beshear won these counties:

CountyPoints Margin
Franklin37
Rowan22
Breathitt22
Woodford19
Wolfe15
Floyd14
Henderson12
Bath12
Nicholas12
Perry11
Scott9
Knott9
Campbell8
Bourbon8
Elliott7
Kenton6
Boyle6
Letcher5
Warren4
Marion4
Madison3
Boyd3
Clark3
Daviess2
Nelson1.3
Magoffin0.77
Powell0.03

Andy Beshear showed that solid leadership, a positive vision for the future, and a well-run campaign can lead to a Democratic win in a very Republican state.

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Bruce Maples

Bruce Maples has been involved in politics and activism since 2004, when he became active in the Kerry Kentucky movement. (Read the rest of his bio on the Bruce Maples Bio page in the bottom nav bar.)

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